issued a message on a WhatsApp group he runs for journalists that he will not be attending the Congress legislative party meeting scheduled for Monday.
He also said that he had the support of over 30 Congress and independent MLAs.In Rajasthan’s 200 MLA-strong assembly, the Congress has a total of 107 MLAs and the additional support of 13 independents. In addition, the Rashtriya Lok Dal’s sole MLA, Subhash Garg, is a minister in Gehlot’s cabinet.
The BJP has 72 MLAs and its smaller ally, the Rashtriya Loktantrik Party of Hanuman Beniwal has 3.The Bharatiya Tribal Party (2), the Communist Party of India Marxist (2) are not formally supporting the Congress government but are unlikely to back the BJP’s efforts to topple it.
In such a scenario, if Pilot’s revolt leads to the exit of 30 MLAs, then – depending on how the anti-defection law game is played by each side – the Gehlot government would fall six short of the 101 MLA mark it needs to stay in power, even if the BTP and CPM back it.
In March this year, the Congress-led government in Madhya Pradesh was defeated on the floor of the house after a group of its MLAs led by Jyotiraditya Scindia defected to the BJP.
Police probing horse-trading
Earlier on Sunday, speculation was rife that Pilot, who had gone to Delhi for meetings with the Congress high command, did not enjoy the support of enough MLAs to mount a rebellion and would return to Jaipur to attend the legislators’ meeting called by chief minister Ashok Gehlot for Monday.
A message was circulated on social media stating, “After the intervention of Rahul Gandhi, the political crisis of Rajasthan has come to a standstill. Sachin Pilot, Avinash Pandey, Randeep Surjewala and Ajay Maken are arriving in Jaipur this evening by a special plane. They will attend the MLA meeting tonight at 9 pm and 10 am tomorrow to form a consensus on important issues.”
However, Pilot’s own statement to journalists now makes it clear that whatever patch up the Congress high command was attempting has not succeeded.
While the Pilot-Gehlot rivalry dates back to the 2018 assembly election and even earlier, it was clear matters were quickly coming to a head when Gehlot issued a tweet Sunday afternoon that tried to slow down speculation of a Madhya Pradesh-repeat in Rajasthan.
“SOG has issued notices to the chief minister, Deputy chief minister, chief whip and some other ministers and MLAs in the context of the complaint made by the Congress party about the horse-trading by BJP leaders. It is inappropriately presented by some media,” he tweeted in the afternoon.
Ahead of the Rajya Sabha polls scheduled last month, the Congress government in Rajasthan had alleged that attempts were being made to lure MLAs and independents supporting it, without directly naming the BJP.
A month later, the Special Operations Group of the Rajasthan Police arrested two persons – Ashok Singh and Bharat Malani – who have both had a connection with the BJP in the past.
The FIR underlined that the motive of horse trading of MLAs was to put in place a new chief minister and mentioned that the two men discussed that Pilot is aiming to be the CM.
Following this, the SOG also issued notices to Gehlot, Pilot and several other MLAs in order to record their statements.
Uneasy relationship
Ever since the Congress won the 2018 assembly elections, both Pilot and Gehlot have had an uneasy relationship over the chief ministerial position.Pilot’s supporters contended that as the Pradesh Congress Committee president, he had the first right to the top post, especially since he steered the party from political oblivion in the years preceding the polls.
However, even as the media projected Pilot as the Congress’s chief ministerial candidate during the campaign – giving an impression that the party high command too favoured him – Gehlot gave put mixed responses when asked. On one occasion, he indirectly hinted at Pilot being the CM’s face, while on another said that not all PCC presidents have become chief ministers. Though he had himself once gone from being PCC president to becoming the CM, Gehlot said that this was only an exception. Gehlot was then AICC general secretary (organisation) but clearly he preferred state politics over his national role.